The correct score market one of the highest variance betting markets in the industry. Selecting which team you think you will win the game is often hard enough, but having to select the correct result is almost impossible. Or is it?
The long odds for these types of bets would highlight the difficulty involved, often with prices for more likely results such as 1-0, 1-1 and 2-1 being around the 5.00 mark and upward. As you move up past these scores you start to really gain some speed with the odds on offer, with prices hitting upward of 20.00 for some high scoring affairs.
Whilst these markets may seem tough to call, and to be fair, they are, there is a way in which you can break them down to create a solid betting strategy and take advantage of these long priced betting markets.
Correct Score Bet Types
There are a number of variations that you can choose from for correct score betting, as listed below.
The full time market is the most popular and the one in which most bookies will operate with. It’s a simply process in that you need to predict the correct score at the final whilst. Its worth noting that this will include injury time as well, but likely not any extra time or penalties.
Half Time/ Full Time
With this you will need to predict the score at end of the first half and at full time. Bear in mind that these scores aren’t the individual score for each half, but the final score at the end of each half. So, if a team were leading 1-0 at half time then 2-1 at full time, you would need to predict both outcomes for this bet.
The scorecast is where you will need to predict both the first goalscorer and the full time result. It adds another dimension to the bet and its worth noting that this bet isn’t classed as a double, but a single bet. We’ve written a full article on this if you are looking to find out more.
Correct Score Strategy
Now you’re up to date on the markets that are on offer, it’s time to get stuck into some betting strategies that should help you determine positive results for these types of bets.
Common Score Lines
We mentioned earlier in the article about common score lines in football being 1-0, 1-1 and 2-1. In a survey that was recently taken from over 180,000 matches throughout England it was determined that these three score lines contributed to over 42% of the overall results. It’s a fairly large number when you consider just how many combinations of score lines that are possible in each match.
We aren’t saying that you have to back these scores for each game, as for some they wont be applicable. For example, backing this type of score line for Barcelona v Malaga wouldn’t be all that great due to the fact that Barcelona are likely to score many more goals than this. But, as a general rule, for the majority of closer match ups, these bets wont be too far away.
This is a pretty common betting strategy used by many who regularly bet on these markets for one simple reason. It’s not because a game often doesn’t finish 0-0, in fact from the survey 7.2% did finish 0-0, but it’s because that if you place a bet on the no goalscorer market this will also give you the added cushion of being able to concede an own goal without that goal affecting this no goalscorer market.
It would be criminal to back the 0-0 and for that game to end 1-0 via n own goal when if you place what is effectively the same bet on another market, your bet would win!
Both Teams to Score
Choosing a score line where both teams need to score one goal will often keep you in the bet for longer. For example, if you back a team to win 2-0 and the opposition scores early in that game, you will have instantly lost your bet. If you bet 2-1 on the same result and opposition scores, then this is actually a good thing, as you will need them to do so at some point to be successful with the bet.
This type of strategy works great if you are looking to either cash out your bet or lay your bet to guarantee a return. Even though the team that you have selected to win is losing, the fact that a goal has been scored will, in some circumstances, mean that you can cash out for a profit as the result starts to become more likely. This works especially well when a lesser visiting team scores first in a game they are expected to lose against a short priced favourite.
Consider Multiple Selections
Choosing multiple score lines for one game is never going to be a terrible strategy for this market, mainly due to the size of the odds of offer. If we say that the worst price for a correct score is that of 5.00, we could choose two or even three variants in and around that score line to cover our bets.
For example, we decided that we want to back Arsenal to beat West Ham 2-1 at odds of 5.00. The price for 1-0 to Arsenal is at 6.00 and the price for a 1-1 draw is also at 6.00. If we place £10 on each result we will have wagered £30 in total and at worst our returns would be £50, making £20 profit should one of the three results come in. High stakes bettors often use this strategy when betting on this market just to limit their exposure to certain results.
Again, if the time comes to it, we could be in a great position to cash out one, two or even all three bets to guarantee a profit for these selections.
Pay Attention to Form and History
It’s the most common form of betting strategy, but it’s always well wroth looking at the current form of both teams before placing a bet. You need to see what sort of score lines they have been having recently and see if you can determine a pattern with these.
On top of that, it’s also worth checking out head to head games between the two sides. Often you may see a correlation between certain results and certain teams. Any bets made around this score line will often stand a good chance of winning.
Target Short Priced Favourites for Big Score Lines
Seeing odds of 1.10 or similar for certain teams to win aren’t going to get many people excited at the prospect of betting on this result. But, we can establish from this score line that the short priced favourite are likely going to serve up a bit of a hammering for their opposition.
With this in mind it’s time to look at scores such as 4-0, 5-0, 6-0 and even higher with some teams. A game such as England v San Marino, for example, will likely see this type of result unfold, often offering up some juicy odds in return. Don’t forget that if you do head down this road, spread your bets into multiple selections and include at least one that has the opposition to nick a goal, just in case.